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Asset Pricing WS 2008/09

Organisation:

Instructors: Prof. Dr. Gunter Löffler with
Jürgen Bohrmann and
Shuonan Yuan & Christian de la Torre
Dates: Wednesday, 12:30 - 14:00, H12
Friday, 12:30 - 14:00, H12
Help sessions: Thursday, 14:15 - 15:45, room 2002 in O28 (close to H22)

News:

  • Late-sit exam results available here.
  • Exam review possible on Wednesday, 29th of April, between 10am and 12pm in room 1.03, Heho 18.

You can send an (even anonymous) feedback using the feedback form and choosing your desired recipient.

Downloads are password protected. The username is „student“. You can use your ANA (Authentifizierter Netzzugangs-Account) from kiz and the webVPN to bypass the protection.

 

Help Sessions:

In addition to the excercises we offer regular help sessions. Help sessions will take place on Thursdays between 2:15 and 3:45 pm in room 2002 in O28 (close to H22).
During the help sessions you can ask Shuonan Yuan or Christian de la Torre questions concerning the lecture, the exercises or the papers. Please write Shuonan or Christian an email with your questions well in advance of the session (best would be until Sunday preceding the session), so they can prepare. Please scroll down to find a timetable for the help sessions, the tutor holding the respective session and the planned content.

 

Downloads - Lecture:

Lecture slides (3-on-1)
Lecture slides (2-on-1)
Derivations in detail
Asset pricing exam of winter 2007
What you need to know for the exam

Excel example with S&P500 and gold (lecture: 12.11.2008)
Fama/MacBeth approach in Excel (lecture: 03.12.2008)
Questions to Fama/French (1992) (lecture: 05.12.2008)
Answers to Fama/French (1992) (lecture: 05.12.2008)
Lecture on 10th December: Interviews with K. French and others
Lecture on 9th January: Survey on happiness
Lecture on 4th February: Nobel prize speech by D. Kahneman
 

Downloads - Exercises:

1st problem set
Solution to 1st problem set - PDF
Solution to 1st problem set - Excel
2nd problem set
Solution to 2nd problem set - PDF
Solution to 2nd problem set - Excel
3rd problem set
3rd problem set - Excel raw data
Solution to 3rd problem set - PDF
Solution to 3rd problem set - Excel
4th problem set
4th problem set - Excel raw data
Solution to 4th problem set - PDF
Solution to 4th problem set - PDF - with a small correction
Solution to 4th problem set - Excel
Slide with factor loading interpretations
5th problem set
Solution to 5th problem set - PDF
Solution to 5th problem set - Excel data of Goyal/Welch
6th problem set
6th problem set - Excel raw data
Solution to 6th problem set - PDF
Solution to 6th problem set - Excel data of Shiller
7th problem set
Solution to 7th problem set - PDF
Solution to 7th problem set - Excel
 

Course Outline:

  1. Introduction: finance basics
    Time value of money, compounding, measuring return, discount rates, dividend discount model, expected utility
  2. The stochastic discount factor
    Using the stochastic discount factor approach to understand returns on risky and risk-free assets
  3. Factor pricing models
    The CAPM and the empirical evidence, Fama-French-3-factors
  4. Aggregate stock price behavior
    Equity premium puzzle, time series predictability
  5. Rationality and Behavioral Finance
    Bubbles, Prospect Theory
 

Exam:

The late-sit exam in Asset Pricing is going to take place on Thursday, 16th of April 2009, between 10.00 am and 12.00 am in H11. Do not forget to register for the exam in the Studentensekretariat. We aim to start at 10.00 am without time delay. Please bring student id and handcalculator with you.

 

Lecture Timetable:

Date Kind Remark
Wed, 15.10.2008 Lecture
Fri, 17.10.2008 Lecture
Wed, 22.10.2008 Lecture
Fri, 24.10.2008 Lecture
Wed, 29.10.2008 Exercises 1st problem set
Fri, 31.10.2008 Lecture
Wed, 05.11.2008 Lecture
Fri, 07.11.2008 Exercises 2nd problem set
Wed, 12.11.2008 Lecture
Fri, 14.11.2008 Lecture
Wed, 19.11.2008 Lecture
Fri, 21.11.2008 Lecture
Wed, 26.11.2008 Exercises 3rd problem set
Fri, 28.11.2008 Lecture
Wed, 03.12.2008 Lecture
Fri, 05.12.2008 Lecture Please read Fama/French (1992)
Wed, 10.12.2008 Lecture
Fri, 12.12.2008 Exercises 4th problem set
Wed, 17.12.2008 Lecture
Fri, 19.12.2008 Lecture
Wed, 07.01.2009 Exercises 5th problem set - please read Goyal/Welch
Fri, 09.01.2009 Lecture
Wed, 14.01.2009 Lecture
Fri, 16.01.2009 No lecture
Wed, 21.01.2009 Exercises 6th problem set - please read the first part of Shiller
Fri, 23.01.2009 Lecture
Wed, 28.01.2009 Lecture Please read Malkiel
Fri, 30.01.2009 Lecture Please read Brunnermeier/Nagel
Wed, 04.02.2009 Exercises 7th problem set
Fri, 06.02.2009 Lecture
Wed, 11.02.2009 Lecture
Fri, 13.02.2009 Lecture
 

Help Session Timetable:

Date Tutor Content
Thu, 23.10.2008 Shuonan Discounting, utility, basic regression analysis
Thu, 30.10.2008 Shuonan Basic pricing equation - derivation and interpretation
Thu, 06.11.2008 Shuonan Return on risk-free asset - derivation and interpretation
Thu, 13.11.2008 Christian Mean-variance efficient frontier, return on risky asset
Thu, 20.11.2008 Shuonan Wrap-up of chapter 2, maybe introduction to CAPM
Thu, 27.11.2008 Christian Derivation and interpretation of the CAPM
Thu, 04.12.2008 Christian Fama/French (1992), regression basics
Thu, 18.12.2008 Shuonan Fama-French 3 factors
Thu, 15.01.2008 Christian Equity premium puzzle, predictability
Thu, 22.01.2008 Shuonan Predictability (Goyal/Welch, Shiller, Cochrane's identity)
Thu, 29.01.2008 Christian Predictability, bubbles
Thu, 05.02.2008 Christian Prospect theory
 

Literature:

  • Cochrane: Asset Pricing, 2005, in particular: chapters 1 (not 1.5), 9 (only 9.1), 12 (only 12.3), 20, 21 (21.1), Revised Edition.
    (1st edition will do but check out the typo list on Cochranes homepage.)
  • The 1st chapter of Cochrane is freely available over the website of the Princeton University Press.
  • You find a list of papers in the slides.